AI, geopolitics,and things thatshouldn't work.

Currently Co-Founder & COO of Downstream Intelligence, where we build forecasting that anticipates events before they become headlines. The path there ran through advising a UN mission, public diplomacy in San Francisco, a press office in the Swiss Armed Forces, and a dual master's between The Fletcher School and the University of St.Gallen.

I also build small things that probably shouldn't work. They mostly do. I didn't expect it either.

Raffael HüberliSt.Gallen, SwitzerlandAI × geopolitics, and building things

Raffael Hüberli seated in a stone arcade in a blue linen shirt, looking towards the camera in even daylight.

WorkedEducationPublished by2018 — today

  • Worked
  • Downstream Intelligence
  • United Nations — Perm. Mission of Costa Rica
  • Swissnex San Francisco
  • Swiss Armed Forces
  • Wiler Nachrichten
  • FDP.Die Liberalen St.Gallen
  • Education
  • The Fletcher School
  • University of St.Gallen
  • UC Berkeley Extension
  • Published by
  • World Peace Foundation

Projects

One company, two apps, nine pieces, and a laptop that runs its own models.

The same four groups as the Projects page, at a shorter length. Each one opens its own section there.

  1. Downstream

    1 company

    AI-powered geopolitical forecasting. Every scenario ships with an upside, a downside and a base case, published so anyone can keep score.

    • Downstream IntelligenceCo-Founder & COO

    See the Downstream group

  2. Software

    2 apps

    Two apps you can install today. Both are still moving, and both say which stage they are at rather than implying they are finished.

    • EnvoTestFlight
    • Shell BuddyBeta

    See the Software group

  3. Creative work

    9 pieces

    Films, stills and audio from the Swissnex year, the Armed Forces press office and the university.

    • FilmSeven pieces
    • Press officeStills and short-form
    • AudioEditing and mix

    See the Creative work group

  4. The Garage

    3 one-offs

    Things that do not fit the categories above. Not products, and not pretending to be.

    • Local AI stackRunning
    • The UN corridor guideNotes
    • Scripts and shortcutsUnlisted

    See The Garage group

All four, in full The long descriptions, the measurements, and the addresses that go with them.

Writing

What I am writing about now.

All 67 posts sit in one continuous list, oldest at the bottom, with no separate archive page. These are the four most recent.

  1. Most recent. Jul 2026I Built an App for People Who Walk UN Corridors. Here’s What I Learned.GeoAI × Geopolitics
  2. Jul 2026The Quiet Case for Running AI on Your Own MachineGeoAI × Geopolitics
  3. Jul 2026Running a Full AI Agent Stack on My MacBook. Here’s What It Actually Takes.GeoAI × Geopolitics
  4. Jul 2026From reviewing Tech to building companies with AIGeoAI × Geopolitics

The whole list, back to May 2020 Six years, one scroll, filtered by search, category and year.

Press

Other people, writing about this.

One of them, in full. The interviews, the print, the video and the talks are all on the Press page.

Winner —
AI Pitching
Competition

Downstream Intelligence won the AI Pitching Competition at START Summit, sponsored by Merantix Capital. Six people on a stage, one board, and the only line on this site that somebody else decided.

Winner — AI Pitching Competition

START Summit × Merantix Capital · 19 March 2026

The Downstream Intelligence team on stage at START Summit holding a large WINNER board; Raffael is second from the left in a cream sweater.

Every mention and talk