AI, geopolitics,and things thatshouldn't work.

Currently Co-Founder & COO of Downstream Intelligence, where we build forecasting that anticipates events before they become headlines. The path there ran through advising a UN mission, public diplomacy in San Francisco, a press office in the Swiss Armed Forces, and a dual master's between The Fletcher School and the University of St.Gallen.

I also build small things that probably shouldn't work. They mostly do. I didn't expect it either.

Raffael HüberliSt.Gallen, SwitzerlandAI × geopolitics, and building things

Raffael Hüberli seated in a stone arcade in a blue linen shirt, looking towards the camera in even daylight.

WorkedEducationPublished by2018 — today

  • Worked
  • Downstream Intelligence
  • United Nations — Perm. Mission of Costa Rica
  • Swissnex San Francisco
  • Swiss Armed Forces
  • Wiler Nachrichten
  • FDP.Die Liberalen St.Gallen
  • Education
  • The Fletcher School
  • University of St.Gallen
  • UC Berkeley Extension
  • Published by
  • World Peace Foundation

Projects

One company, two apps, nine creative projects, and a laptop that runs its own models.

Four groups, from the day job to the garage.

  1. Downstream

    1 company

    AI-powered geopolitical forecasting. Every scenario ships with an upside, a downside and a base case, published so anyone can keep score.

    • Downstream IntelligenceCo-Founder & COO

    More on Downstream

  2. Software

    2 apps

    Two apps you can install today. Both still moving.

    • EnvoTestFlight
    • Shell BuddyBeta

    More on Software

  3. Creative work

    9 pieces

    Films, stills and audio from the Swissnex year, the Armed Forces press office and the university.

    • FilmSeven pieces
    • Press officeStills and short-form
    • AudioEditing and mix

    More on the creative work

  4. The Garage

    3 one-offs

    Everything that doesn't fit anywhere else. Not products, and not pretending to be.

    • Local AI stackRunning
    • The UN corridor guideNotes
    • Scripts and shortcutsUnlisted

    More from the Garage

All four, in full

Writing

What I am writing about now.

The four most recent of 67 posts.

  1. Most recent. Jul 2026I Built an App for People Who Walk UN Corridors. Here’s What I Learned.GeoAI × Geopolitics
  2. Jul 2026The Quiet Case for Running AI on Your Own MachineGeoAI × Geopolitics
  3. Jul 2026Running a Full AI Agent Stack on My MacBook. Here’s What It Actually Takes.GeoAI × Geopolitics
  4. Jul 2026From reviewing Tech to building companies with AIGeoAI × Geopolitics

The whole list, back to May 2020

Press

Other people, writing about this.

The most recent one.

Winner —
AI Pitching
Competition

Downstream Intelligence won the AI Pitching Competition at START Summit, sponsored by Merantix Capital. Six people on a stage, one big WINNER board.

Winner — AI Pitching Competition

START Summit × Merantix Capital · 19 March 2026

The Downstream Intelligence team on stage at START Summit holding a large WINNER board; Raffael is second from the left in a cream sweater.

Every mention and talk